Sun Oct-18 15:03:35
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4079 Fri Sep-04 15:10:26
TSMC Equipment Demand Doubled, But Fab Construction Workers Are Running Out
TSMC reported that quarterly equipment demand has nearly doubled previous projections, highlighting a severe shortage of skilled construction workers for new fabs.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.10% | +0.60% | 419.91 | 429.11 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +4.41% | +0.97% | 1673.16 | 1720.30 | |
| MU | · unclear | PRICED | +3.72% | -0.08% | 964.97 | 1016.70 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | PRICED | +3.56% | +0.76% | 38.05 | 40.87 | |
| AMD | · unclear | PRICED | +3.43% | +1.13% | 460.18 | 477.75 | |
| peer NVDA | · unclear | PRICED | +2.29% | +0.16% | 229.50 | 234.52 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | FRESH | -0.41% | -0.11% | 353.82 | 361.62 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.10% · Δ 30m +0.60% · px 425.78 (prev 417.02) → close +0.70% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA → close -1.27% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.10% · Δ 30m +0.60% · px 425.78 (prev 417.02) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.