Sun Oct-18 15:03:32
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #3992 Thu Sep-03 17:31:28
Taiwan firms plan new US investment
Taiwanese semiconductor firms plan an additional $20-30 billion investment in the US to meet rising AI and chip demand, with SEMI raising its global revenue forecast to $1 trillion for this year.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.65% | +0.32% | 408.61 | 417.19 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | PRICED | -3.80% | +0.43% | 340.52 | 358.96 | |
| ASML | · unclear | PRICED | -2.77% | -0.45% | 1626.20 | 1659.83 | |
| MU | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.26% | -0.06% | 927.46 | 959.36 | |
| peer NVDA | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.19% | -0.16% | 223.46 | 230.14 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | FRESH | -0.87% | +0.08% | 165.14 | 169.97 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | FRESH | +0.69% | -0.45% | 36.14 | 38.19 | |
| AMD | · unclear | FRESH | +0.22% | +0.20% | 444.32 | 459.53 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long TSM (other: Taiwanese semiconductor firms plan an additional $20-30 billion investment in the US to meet rising AI and chip demand, with SEMI raising its global revenue forecast to $1 trillion for this year.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 long TSM exiting 2026-09-03] → close +0.88% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA → close +0.66% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long TSM at close, exit next close (other: Taiwanese semiconductor firms plan an additional $20-30 billion investment in the US to meet rising AI and chip demand, with SEMI raising its global revenue forecast to $1 trillion for this year.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 75 long (decision 15956) for S4 TSM exiting 2026-09-04] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.