Mon Aug-31 19:04:21
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #3584 Fri Aug-28 18:00:39
Indoor camping
Nvidia customers face server price increases of over 15% due to soaring memory costs driven by AI infrastructure demand.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.60% | -0.18% | 216.97 | 228.68 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | PRICED | -3.67% | -0.19% | 36.92 | 38.72 | |
| counterparty MSFT | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.34% | +0.06% | 502.75 | 547.03 | |
| ASML | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.91% | +0.23% | 1693.78 | 1737.17 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.41% | -0.02% | 365.84 | 376.20 | |
| TSM | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.34% | +0.13% | 417.52 | 431.74 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.33% | +0.34% | 914.03 | 946.50 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.13% | +0.23% | 162.24 | 165.40 | |
| peer AMD | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.04% | +0.63% | 465.60 | 478.33 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.60% · Δ 30m -0.18% · px 219.77 (prev 227.98) → close -0.80% |
| S2 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.34% · Δ 30m +0.06% · px 516.90 (prev 505.06) → close -0.51% |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD → close -0.98% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.60% · Δ 30m -0.18% · px 219.77 (prev 227.98) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.