🚨 Alert #3554 Fri Aug-28 15:31:05
Google is preparing to launch its new AI-centric Googlebook laptops with an unrevealed operating system name just weeks before its media event.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long GOOGL (product: Google is preparing to launch its new AI-centric Googlebook laptops with an unrevealed operating system name just weeks before its media event.) |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | inferred short: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close +0.97% |
| S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long GOOGL at close, exit next close (product: Google is preparing to launch its new AI-centric Googlebook laptops with an unrevealed operating system name just weeks before its media event.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 65 long (decision 14400) for S4 GOOGL exiting 2026-08-31] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ▲ long | 2 | 343.66 | 346.61 | +5.90 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL S1 | +1.57% | -0.05% | Signal: right. The bullish call worked — price rose from 343.66 to 346.61 with virtually no adverse excursion (worst -0.05%), so the direction was clean. Timing: mostly fine, mildly late. Entry came after a +0.93% overnight gap, so a small part of the move was already spent, but the 30-minute trend was flat and the position still gained ~0.86% after entry, so the trade wasn't chasing an exhausted move. Exit: the weak link. The exit captured +0.86% of a +1.57% best unrealized — roughly half the available gain was left on the table. Dominant factor: exit efficiency, not signal or timing; the data doesn't show why the exit fired where it did (no stop/target info here), only that it undercaptured. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.