Mon Aug-31 20:05:34
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #3542 Fri Aug-28 13:52:15
Apple Defies Steepest-Ever Smartphone Slump, iOS Share On Track For Record High: IDC
IDC projects Apple will gain record iOS market share in 2026 despite a steep global smartphone shipment decline driven by surging memory costs.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AAPL | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.47% | -0.16% | 315.16 | 322.20 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | FRESH | +0.54% | +0.11% | 257.06 | 267.47 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | FRESH | +0.32% | +0.02% | 340.64 | 348.75 | |
| META | · unclear | FRESH | +0.31% | -0.08% | 571.80 | 614.61 | |
| TSLA | · unclear | FRESH | +0.19% | -0.08% | 345.30 | 358.07 | |
| peer MSFT | · unclear | FRESH | +0.17% | +0.09% | 502.75 | 547.03 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long AAPL (other: IDC projects Apple will gain record iOS market share in 2026 despite a steep global smartphone shipment decline driven by surging memory costs.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already queued S1 long AAPL exiting 2026-08-28] → close +1.14% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close +1.64% |
| S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long AAPL at close, exit next close (other: IDC projects Apple will gain record iOS market share in 2026 despite a steep global smartphone shipment decline driven by surging memory costs.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 65 short (decision 14392) for S4 AAPL exiting 2026-08-31] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.