Mon Aug-31 19:02:01
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #3530 Fri Aug-28 13:02:03
CEO of world's most valuable company Nvidia becomes world's 6th-richest billionaire
Nvidia shares surged 8.7% following better-than-expected quarterly results and strong guidance, pushing CEO Jensen Huang to become the world's sixth-richest person.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.57% | -0.24% | 216.97 | 228.68 | |
| AAPL | · unclear | FRESH | +0.55% | +0.26% | 315.16 | 322.20 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | FRESH | +0.38% | -0.05% | 257.06 | 267.47 | |
| peer META | · unclear | FRESH | +0.20% | -0.11% | 571.80 | 614.61 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | FRESH | +0.19% | -0.13% | 340.64 | 348.75 | |
| TSLA | · unclear | FRESH | +0.16% | -0.24% | 345.30 | 358.07 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long NVDA (earnings: Nvidia shares surged 8.7% following better-than-expected quarterly results and strong guidance, pushing CEO Jensen Huang to become the world's sixth-richest person.) |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | META | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for META → close +1.11% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long NVDA at close, exit next close (earnings: Nvidia shares surged 8.7% following better-than-expected quarterly results and strong guidance, pushing CEO Jensen Huang to become the world's sixth-richest person.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 85 long lost to mat 85 long (decision 14236) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-08-31] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ▲ long | 4 | 226.91 | 218.02 | -35.56 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA S1 | +0.95% | -4.41% | Signal/timing failure — stale news. The rationale cites an 8.7% earnings surge, but price context at decision time (-0.57% vs prior close, drifting down over the last 30m) indicates that move had already happened before entry; the "FRESH" verdict looks wrong. Post-entry, the direction was wrong: the trade never got more than +0.95% in favor and fell as far as -4.41%. The exit at -3.92% is near the worst unrealized, but with only +0.95% ever available, exit quality is a minor factor — the dominant problem is entering long on an already-priced-in move. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.