Mon Aug-31 19:06:08
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #3519 Thu Aug-27 20:20:57
Nvidia Adds $296 Billion as 70% Forecast Resets the AI Trade
Nvidia shares surged after reporting doubled revenue and providing a rare long-term forecast of 70% growth for fiscal 2028.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +8.15% | +0.56% | 221.72 | 230.45 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | PRICED | +3.73% | +0.11% | 359.20 | 374.18 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | PRICED | +2.46% | +0.27% | 37.58 | 39.22 | |
| MU | · unclear | PRICED | -2.11% | +0.52% | 908.33 | 979.50 | |
| peer AMD | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.86% | +0.16% | 470.37 | 489.20 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.81% | +0.09% | 421.86 | 451.39 | |
| ASML | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.02% | +0.27% | 1722.10 | 1770.19 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +8.15% · Δ 30m +0.56% · px 226.75 (prev 209.66) → close +0.59% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD → close +0.74% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +8.15% · Δ 30m +0.56% · px 226.75 (prev 209.66) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.