Mon Aug-31 19:08:41
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🚨 Alert #3478 Thu Aug-27 17:20:44
IDC Predicts Apple Will Ship 10 Million Foldable Phones In Year One
IDC forecasts Apple will ship 10 million units of its upcoming foldable iPhone Ultra in its first year, potentially capturing 40% of the foldable market by 2027.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AAPL | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.29% | -0.04% | 309.49 | 315.23 | |
| TSLA | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.90% | +0.37% | 345.50 | 355.51 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.47% | +0.12% | 255.10 | 260.10 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.14% | +0.56% | 491.10 | 505.92 | |
| META | · unclear | FRESH | -0.39% | +0.29% | 568.89 | 586.57 | |
| peer GOOGL | · unclear | FRESH | -0.22% | +0.27% | 339.19 | 355.25 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long AAPL (product: IDC forecasts Apple will ship 10 million units of its upcoming foldable iPhone Ultra in its first year, potentially capturing 40% of the foldable market by 2027.) [skipped: signal conflict — wanted long, netted, outranked by S3 short AAPL mat 85 (new mat 65)] → close +0.11% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL → close -0.24% |
| S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long AAPL at close, exit next close (product: IDC forecasts Apple will ship 10 million units of its upcoming foldable iPhone Ultra in its first year, potentially capturing 40% of the foldable market by 2027.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 65 long (decision 14036) for S4 AAPL exiting 2026-08-28] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.