Mon Aug-31 19:05:06
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #3320 Wed Aug-26 14:00:40
I'm betting on September 9 for the iPhone 18 Pro launch - and this could be Apple's biggest event in years
Apple is expected to launch the iPhone 18 Pro and its first foldable iPhone, the iPhone Ultra, at an event on September 9, marking the first major product unveiling under new CEO John Ternus.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long AAPL (product: Apple is expected to launch the iPhone 18 Pro and its first foldable iPhone, the iPhone Ultra, at an event on September 9, marking the first major product unveiling under new CEO John Ternus.) [skipped: signal conflict — wanted long, conflict-hold — mat 65 ties incumbent S1 short AAPL, incumbent held (strictly higher materiality required to flip)] → close +1.11% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | - | ○ skip | — | no peer in universe |
| S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long AAPL at close, exit next close (product: Apple is expected to launch the iPhone 18 Pro and its first foldable iPhone, the iPhone Ultra, at an event on September 9, marking the first major product unveiling under new CEO John Ternus.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 65 long (decision 13488) for S4 AAPL exiting 2026-08-27] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.