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🚨 Alert #3231 Tue Aug-25 15:10:47

OpenAI' Jalapeño: Better Than Nvidia Blackwell
newsletter.semianalysis.com · Tue Aug-25 15:00:38 published · Tue Aug-25 15:10:47 alerted · alerted 10m after publish · read at newsletter.semianalysis.com ↗ · product · mat 85

OpenAI unveiled its custom Jalapeño inference ASIC, developed in partnership with Broadcom, claiming superior performance and efficiency compared to Nvidia, AMD, and Google chips.

🎯 Tickers & verdicts

tickerdirectionverdictsince close30mday loday hiintraday px
primary NVDA bearishPRICED+2.34%+0.63%210.10214.28
peer AMD bearishPRICED+3.83%+0.27%466.91482.30
AVGO bullishREPRICING-0.22%-0.89%355.64363.55
GOOGL bearishFRESH+0.03%-0.23%345.69350.72

🧭 Decisions

strategytickeractionsiderationale
S1NVDA○ skipverdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.34% · Δ 30m +0.63% · px 213.35 (prev 208.48) → close -0.13%
S2-○ skipno counterparty in universe
S3AMD○ skipverdict PRICED — Δ prev close +3.83% · Δ 30m +0.27% · px 474.23 (prev 456.74) → close +1.24%
S4NVDA○ skipverdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.34% · Δ 30m +0.63% · px 213.35 (prev 208.48)

📈 Trades

no trades spawned

📖 Glossary

  • S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
  • S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
  • S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
  • S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
  • Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
  • UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
  • PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
  • REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
  • FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
  • materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.

← #3230 · #3232 → · 📅 2026-08-25 day report