Mon Aug-31 19:03:28
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #3230 Tue Aug-25 15:10:45
OpenAI's Sam Altman Admits the AI Boom Is Running Late: "We've Not Had the iPhone Moment"
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated that AI adoption is slower than anticipated and remains in the 'Palm Pilot stage,' citing compute constraints as a major bottleneck.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.34% | +0.63% | 210.10 | 214.28 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +7.51% | +0.91% | 35.75 | 38.75 | |
| peer AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.83% | +0.27% | 466.91 | 482.30 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.82% | -0.51% | 921.02 | 944.54 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.63% | -0.37% | 414.52 | 418.56 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.22% | -0.89% | 355.64 | 363.55 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.34% · Δ 30m +0.63% · px 213.35 (prev 208.48) → close -0.13% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +3.83% · Δ 30m +0.27% · px 474.23 (prev 456.74) → close +1.24% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.34% · Δ 30m +0.63% · px 213.35 (prev 208.48) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.