🚨 Alert #3098 Mon Aug-24 13:02:11
Early testers report positive feedback on Apple's upcoming foldable iPhone Ultra, praising its hinge design and usability ahead of the expected September launch.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long AAPL (product: Early testers report positive feedback on Apple's upcoming foldable iPhone Ultra, praising its hinge design and usability ahead of the expected September launch.) |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL → close +1.32% |
| S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long AAPL at close, exit next close (product: Early testers report positive feedback on Apple's upcoming foldable iPhone Ultra, praising its hinge design and usability ahead of the expected September launch.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 85 long (decision 12708) for S4 AAPL exiting 2026-08-25] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 311.41 | 310.62 | -2.37 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL S1 | +0.60% | -0.30% | Signal: Partially right — price did move up as much as +0.60% after entry, so the bullish direction wasn't wrong, though the pre-entry context (+0.34% since prev close, flat last 30m) doesn't show a big move already priced in; whether the news was truly "fresh" can't be confirmed from this data alone. Timing: Some drift is visible — the fill at 311.41 was ~+0.67% above prev close versus +0.34% at decision time, so roughly half the intraday gain occurred between decision and fill. Exit: This is the dominant factor. The trade saw +0.60% unrealized upside but was closed at −0.25%, near the −0.30% worst point — the exit captured essentially the bottom of the available range and turned a correct directional call into a loss. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.