kingfisher — alert #3004

🚨 Alert #3004 Fri Aug-21 13:02:48

Nvidia earnings, Jackson Hole to test pillars of stock rally - AOL

aol.com · Fri Aug-21 11:03:33 published · Fri Aug-21 13:02:48 alerted · alerted 1h 59m after publish · read at www.aol.com ↗ · earnings · mat 85

Nvidia's upcoming earnings report and the Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole symposium are positioned as critical tests for the AI-driven stock market rally amid rising Treasury yields.

🎯 Tickers & verdicts

ticker	direction	verdict	since close	30m	day lo	day hi
primary NVDA	· unclear	FRESH	+0.57%	-0.18%	214.72	218.48
TSM	· unclear	REPRICING	+1.40%	-0.02%	417.05	423.98
AVGO	· unclear	REPRICING	+1.34%	+0.14%	365.20	373.98
SMCI	· unclear	REPRICING	+1.21%	+0.03%	36.63	37.47
MU	· unclear	REPRICING	+1.09%	+0.10%	959.33	988.00
peer AMD	· unclear	REPRICING	+1.08%	-0.17%	463.05	475.79
ASML	· unclear	FRESH	+0.98%	-0.18%	1742.38	1771.53
QCOM	· unclear	FRESH	+0.66%	-0.39%	159.40	162.85

🧭 Decisions

strategy	ticker	action	side	rationale
S1	NVDA	○ skip	—	direction unclear for NVDA → close -1.50%
S2	-	○ skip	—	no counterparty in universe
S3	AMD	○ skip	—	direction unclear for AMD → close -0.20%
S4	NVDA	○ skip	—	direction unclear for NVDA

📈 Trades

no trades spawned

📖 Glossary

S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.