Mon Aug-31 20:00:15
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #282 Mon Jul-20 19:10:29
Microsoft adopts Kimi K3 to cut AI inference costs by $600M
Microsoft is evaluating Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 model for its Copilot service, a move that could theoretically reduce inference costs by $600 million.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MSFT | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.00% | -0.03% | 388.63 | 402.83 | |
| AMD | · unclear | PRICED | +3.97% | +0.93% | 502.09 | 525.31 | |
| peer GOOGL | · unclear | PRICED | +1.73% | +0.02% | 347.73 | 359.49 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | PRICED | +1.35% | +0.12% | 246.72 | 252.85 | |
| NVDA | · unclear | FRESH | +0.97% | +0.33% | 202.33 | 207.26 | |
| META | · unclear | FRESH | +0.42% | +0.10% | 637.32 | 678.03 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.00% · Δ 30m -0.03% · px 401.70 (prev 393.82) → close +0.11% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL → close -0.18% |
| S4 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.00% · Δ 30m -0.03% · px 401.70 (prev 393.82) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.