Mon Aug-31 20:11:18
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #2778 Tue Aug-18 13:00:30
China's Chip Revenue Hits Record $245 Billion As SMIC and CXMT Lead the Pack: ETFs to Watch
China's semiconductor industry revenue reached a record $245 billion in 2025, driven by domestic leaders SMIC and CXMT, signaling increased competition for global chipmakers.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.35% | +0.09% | 410.91 | 421.24 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.06% | +0.38% | 929.02 | 977.50 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.57% | -0.11% | 1776.46 | 1819.80 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.34% | -0.21% | 475.34 | 492.00 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.62% | -0.36% | 156.90 | 161.58 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.88% | +0.04% | 218.93 | 221.15 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.48% | -0.02% | 377.11 | 387.46 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.35% · Δ 30m +0.09% · px 420.81 (prev 430.95) → close -1.54% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred short move already absorbed: NVDA -1.88% since prev close → close -0.58% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.35% · Δ 30m +0.09% · px 420.81 (prev 430.95) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.