Mon Aug-31 19:06:07
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #2772 Mon Aug-17 19:00:19
Super Micro's $72 Billion Bombshell Fuels Fresh Surge in AI Hardware Bets
Super Micro Computer raised its fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to $65-72 billion and reported improved gross margins, signaling sustained demand for AI infrastructure.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -4.84% | -0.26% | 37.80 | 39.98 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +5.03% | +0.07% | 993.78 | 1034.28 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.27% | +0.12% | 427.86 | 435.39 | |
| peer AMD | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.87% | +0.14% | 505.25 | 521.14 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.58% | -0.33% | 391.64 | 398.50 | |
| counterparty NVDA | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.30% | -0.05% | 224.91 | 227.78 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | SMCI | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.84% · Δ 30m -0.26% · px 37.91 (prev 39.84) → close +2.27% |
| S2 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long NVDA (guidance: Super Micro Computer raised its fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to $65-72 billion and reported improved gross margins, signaling sustained demand for AI infrastructure.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S2 long NVDA exiting 2026-08-17] → close -0.28% |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long AMD (guidance: Super Micro Computer raised its fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to $65-72 billion and reported improved gross margins, signaling sustained demand for AI infrastructure.) [skipped: signal conflict — wanted long, netted, outranked by S3 short AMD mat 95 (new mat 85)] → close -0.80% |
| S4 | SMCI | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.84% · Δ 30m -0.26% · px 37.91 (prev 39.84) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.