🚨 Alert #2666 Fri Aug-14 19:50:28
Meta Platforms shares fell following a mixed Q2 2026 earnings report characterized by surging AI infrastructure costs and a significant decline in free cash flow.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | META | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short META (earnings: Meta Platforms shares fell following a mixed Q2 2026 earnings report characterized by surging AI infrastructure costs and a significant decline in free cash flow.) |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL → close +0.04% |
| S4 | META | ● enter | ▼ short | overnight drift: short META at close, exit next close (earnings: Meta Platforms shares fell following a mixed Q2 2026 earnings report characterized by surging AI infrastructure costs and a significant decline in free cash flow.) |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | META | ▼ short | 1 | 591.46 | 589.97 | +1.49 | closed |
| S4 | META | ▼ short | 1 | 590.00 | 569.29 | +20.71 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| META S1 | +0.29% | -0.09% | Signal: Right — the bearish call worked; META drifted lower after entry. Timing: The stock was already down 0.55% from prior close at decision time, and only 0.29% more downside materialized while open, so a portion of the earnings reaction preceded entry — though the data here doesn't show the full post-earnings move, so we can't quantify exactly how much was missed. Exit: Good — the +1.49 P&L (~+0.25%) captured nearly all of the +0.29% best unrealized, with minimal adverse excursion (-0.09%). Dominant factor: Timing — the signal and exit both performed well, but the residual move available after entry was small, capping the trade at a trivial gain. |
| META S4 | +4.26% | -6.53% | (reflection unavailable — LLM call failed) |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.