🚨 Alert #2602 Fri Aug-14 13:01:08
An analysis highlights the attractive valuation of Meta and Alphabet following their Q2 2026 earnings reports, noting strong revenue growth in ads and cloud despite Meta's EPS miss due to legal charges.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | META | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long META (earnings: An analysis highlights the attractive valuation of Meta and Alphabet following their Q2 2026 earnings reports, noting strong revenue growth in ads and cloud despite Meta's EPS miss due to legal charges.) [closed early: netted out by outranking S1 short META decision 10661] |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close -0.22% |
| S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long META at close, exit next close (earnings: An analysis highlights the attractive valuation of Meta and Alphabet following their Q2 2026 earnings reports, noting strong revenue growth in ads and cloud despite Meta's EPS miss due to legal charges.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 85 short (decision 10664) for S4 META exiting 2026-08-17] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | META | ▲ long | 1 | 600.39 | 591.46 | -8.93 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| META S1 | -0.03% | -1.61% | Signal (dominant factor): wrong. The bullish call never materialized — the position's best unrealized was -0.03%, meaning the price essentially never traded above entry while open, so no exit timing could have made this profitable. Timing: The fill at 600.39 was ~0.95% above the prior close despite only +0.16%/+0.35% moves being known at decision time, suggesting some run-up between signal and fill, but the data here doesn't establish whether the anticipated move had already occurred more broadly. Exit: The -1.49% realized loss sits near the worst unrealized (-1.61%), so the exit caught close to the bottom of the range — but note the close was forced by netting against an outranking short signal, not a deliberate exit, and given the best available was -0.03%, exit choice was largely irrelevant to the outcome. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.