Mon Aug-31 19:02:12
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #256 Mon Jul-20 16:40:12
:quality(82)/8919b2f7ffdb423eae44f768a7cb24b9)
Google Broke a 20-Year Funding Habit. How Will Its Stock React?
Alphabet faces investor skepticism and a stock sell-off ahead of its Q2 earnings due to a reported delay in its Gemini 3.5 Pro model and a massive increase in AI capital expenditure guidance to $190 billion.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.09% | +0.11% | 347.73 | 359.49 | |
| AMD | · unclear | PRICED | +3.23% | +0.23% | 502.09 | 525.31 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | PRICED | +1.90% | +0.40% | 246.72 | 252.85 | |
| NVDA | · unclear | PRICED | +1.35% | -0.21% | 202.33 | 207.26 | |
| peer MSFT | · unclear | PRICED | +1.04% | +0.42% | 388.63 | 402.83 | |
| META | · unclear | FRESH | +0.39% | +0.19% | 637.32 | 678.03 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +3.09% · Δ 30m +0.11% · px 357.48 (prev 346.77) → close -1.49% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close +1.06% |
| S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +3.09% · Δ 30m +0.11% · px 357.48 (prev 346.77) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.