Mon Aug-31 20:00:38
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #2525 Thu Aug-13 14:41:19
'Big Short' investor Steve Eisman sees an Achilles heel in the AI boom
Investor Steve Eisman warned that the AI revenue of Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet is overly dependent on the success of OpenAI and Anthropic, citing risks from cheaper Chinese open-source models.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MSFT | ▼ bearish | UNKNOWN | +1.23% | — | 483.01 | 501.05 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | UNKNOWN | +1.70% | — | 579.88 | 595.53 | |
| AAPL | · unclear | UNKNOWN | +0.71% | — | 302.73 | 305.84 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | UNKNOWN | +0.40% | — | 344.26 | 347.51 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | UNKNOWN | +0.38% | — | 223.32 | 226.38 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | UNKNOWN | +0.32% | — | 264.90 | 269.47 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict UNKNOWN — Δ prev close +1.23% · px 498.49 (prev 492.43) → close -0.46% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict UNKNOWN — Δ prev close +0.38% · px 224.94 (prev 224.09) → close +0.19% |
| S4 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict UNKNOWN — Δ prev close +1.23% · px 498.49 (prev 492.43) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.