Mon Aug-31 20:11:02
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #2475 Wed Aug-12 18:31:10
Lumentum Rockets 15% on Blowout Earnings, Coherent Climbs 9%, Corning Gains 5% on Optics Earnings and CoreWeave, Super Micro Read-Through
Lumentum reported blowout fiscal Q4 2026 earnings and raised guidance, driving a rally in AI optics stocks and providing a positive read-through for Super Micro Computer and the broader semiconductor sector.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +18.55% | +1.31% | 33.94 | 38.10 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +6.99% | +0.29% | 886.10 | 934.82 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.03% | +0.11% | 219.15 | 224.84 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.61% | -0.26% | 477.04 | 491.04 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.71% | +0.19% | 427.00 | 432.60 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.24% | +0.13% | 1808.64 | 1837.51 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.62% | -0.13% | 414.75 | 426.56 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.28% | -0.16% | 161.22 | 166.81 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | SMCI | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +18.55% · Δ 30m +1.31% · px 37.46 (prev 31.60) → close +0.33% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +3.03% · Δ 30m +0.11% · px 224.08 (prev 217.50) → close -0.34% |
| S4 | SMCI | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +18.55% · Δ 30m +1.31% · px 37.46 (prev 31.60) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.