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🚨 Alert #2371 Tue Aug-11 18:20:23
Semiconductors Strength Could Deepen the US Technology Trade Deficit
TSMC reported July revenue growth of 44.7% year-over-year, exceeding guidance and signaling strong demand for the broader semiconductor industry.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.63% | -0.15% | 419.56 | 424.54 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.01% | -0.11% | 1778.70 | 1814.89 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.08% | -0.10% | 847.78 | 876.82 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.89% | +0.03% | 413.57 | 425.61 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.73% | -0.04% | 463.93 | 475.78 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.21% | -0.49% | 216.49 | 221.79 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.19% | -0.09% | 161.72 | 164.58 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long TSM (earnings: TSMC reported July revenue growth of 44.7% year-over-year, exceeding guidance and signaling strong demand for the broader semiconductor industry.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 long TSM exiting 2026-08-11] → close +0.30% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred long: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close +0.38% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long TSM at close, exit next close (earnings: TSMC reported July revenue growth of 44.7% year-over-year, exceeding guidance and signaling strong demand for the broader semiconductor industry.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 85 long (decision 9304) for S4 TSM exiting 2026-08-12] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.