Mon Aug-31 19:04:02
times in Europe/Lisbon

🚨 Alert #2198 Mon Aug-10 14:24:19

TSMC sales hit a record run but the risk is hiding in plain
rollingout.com · Mon Aug-10 13:47:53 published · Mon Aug-10 14:24:19 alerted · alerted 36m after publish · read at rollingout.com ↗ · earnings · mat 65

TSMC reported record July revenue of NT$467.58 billion, beating its full-year growth target, though the stock reaction was muted as the results were largely priced in.

🎯 Tickers & verdicts

tickerdirectionverdictsince close30mday loday hiintraday px
primary TSM· unclearFRESH+0.16%+0.32%417.84425.04
AAPL bullishREPRICING-1.34%0.00%305.28310.13
AMD bullishFRESH-0.76%+0.27%469.22483.00
counterparty NVDA bullishFRESH-0.43%0.00%217.00224.91

🧭 Decisions

strategytickeractionsiderationale
S1TSM○ skipdirection unclear for TSM → close -0.12%
S2NVDA○ skipinferred long: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close -2.44%
S3-○ skipno peer in universe
S4TSM○ skipdirection unclear for TSM

📈 Trades

no trades spawned

📖 Glossary

  • S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
  • S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
  • S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
  • S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
  • Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
  • UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
  • PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
  • REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
  • FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
  • materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.

← #2197 · #2199 → · 📅 2026-08-10 day report