Mon Aug-31 20:11:31
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1825 Tue Aug-04 17:00:42
Why Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF Jumped Today
Morgan Stanley analysts issued a positive outlook on semiconductor stocks, citing sufficient hyperscaler revenue growth to support $1.2 trillion in industry capital investment.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.01% | +0.44% | 208.89 | 216.89 | |
| peer AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +8.04% | +0.90% | 469.87 | 529.54 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +7.85% | -0.07% | 861.76 | 900.43 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +7.25% | +1.89% | 29.18 | 31.80 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +7.09% | +0.91% | 154.48 | 163.44 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +6.14% | +0.95% | 398.53 | 421.83 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.24% | -0.11% | 1681.28 | 1717.09 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.33% | +0.03% | 412.52 | 419.81 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.01% · Δ 30m +0.44% · px 210.80 (prev 206.64) → close +0.68% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +8.04% · Δ 30m +0.90% · px 523.61 (prev 484.64) → close -0.11% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.01% · Δ 30m +0.44% · px 210.80 (prev 206.64) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.