Mon Aug-31 20:05:54
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🚨 Alert #1780 Tue Aug-04 15:10:22
The Case Against the Proposed Chip Security Act in Taiwan
Taiwan's opposition party is proposing legislation to tighten legislative oversight of outbound semiconductor investments, potentially impacting TSMC's overseas expansion plans.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.12% | +0.06% | 412.52 | 419.81 | |
| AMD | · unclear | PRICED | +5.89% | +0.23% | 469.87 | 529.54 | |
| MU | · unclear | PRICED | +5.65% | +0.90% | 861.76 | 900.43 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | PRICED | +4.84% | +1.05% | 154.48 | 163.44 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | PRICED | +4.63% | +0.15% | 398.53 | 421.83 | |
| ASML | · unclear | PRICED | +3.25% | -0.27% | 1681.28 | 1717.09 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | PRICED | +2.23% | +0.03% | 29.18 | 31.80 | |
| peer NVDA | · unclear | PRICED | +1.70% | -0.42% | 208.89 | 216.89 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.12% · Δ 30m +0.06% · px 414.73 (prev 406.11) → close +0.47% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA → close +0.99% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.12% · Δ 30m +0.06% · px 414.73 (prev 406.11) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.