Mon Aug-31 19:08:53
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1742 Tue Aug-04 13:03:47
The Magnificent Seven companies just did something they haven't since ChatGPT was first released
Bank of America analysts report that Magnificent Seven stocks experienced post-earnings moves exceeding options-implied expectations, with Tesla falling 15% and Microsoft rising 16%.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSLA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.12% | +0.56% | 321.57 | 329.39 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | PRICED | -2.64% | -0.52% | 276.40 | 280.96 | |
| META | · unclear | PRICED | -2.10% | -0.29% | 575.50 | 592.28 | |
| MSFT | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.92% | +0.08% | 475.61 | 498.91 | |
| NVDA | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.87% | +0.51% | 208.89 | 216.89 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | PRICED | -1.35% | +0.16% | 366.39 | 380.31 | |
| peer AAPL | · unclear | FRESH | -0.24% | +0.07% | 302.15 | 311.35 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | primary short contradicts tape: TSLA +1.12% since prev close → close +0.59% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AAPL → close +2.13% |
| S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short TSLA at close, exit next close (earnings: Bank of America analysts report that Magnificent Seven stocks experienced post-earnings moves exceeding options-implied expectations, with Tesla falling 15% and Microsoft rising 16%.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 short lost to mat 65 short (decision 7156) for S4 TSLA exiting 2026-08-05] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.