Mon Aug-31 19:07:08
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🚨 Alert #1618 Mon Aug-03 13:01:43
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Here's What Magnificent 7 Earnings Tell Us About the AI Trade in 2026
Analysis of Magnificent 7 earnings reveals divergent market reactions, with Microsoft and Amazon surging on beats while Alphabet, Meta, and Tesla declined due to misses or weak guidance.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MSFT | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +5.15% | +0.15% | 472.09 | 491.29 | |
| AMZN | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +17.37% | -0.02% | 275.80 | 286.78 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +8.44% | -0.11% | 361.61 | 375.97 | |
| AAPL | · unclear | PRICED | -6.57% | +0.19% | 302.90 | 311.92 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +5.05% | +0.12% | 562.45 | 597.04 | |
| peer NVDA | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.74% | -0.53% | 197.69 | 208.66 | |
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.00% | -0.42% | 310.90 | 324.21 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +5.15% · Δ 30m +0.15% · px 474.35 (prev 451.10) → close +2.96% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA → close +3.91% |
| S4 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +5.15% · Δ 30m +0.15% · px 474.35 (prev 451.10) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.