Mon Aug-31 20:13:21
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1516 Fri Jul-31 14:02:54
Kioxia's outlook miss clouds optimism about memory chip boom
Kioxia issued a disappointing earnings outlook and warned of moderating flash memory prices, raising concerns about the sustainability of AI-driven data center spending.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +22.34% | -0.65% | 812.48 | 926.39 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +16.96% | +0.24% | 472.12 | 514.65 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +15.58% | +0.05% | 447.95 | 465.86 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +15.25% | +0.38% | 259.40 | 272.46 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +11.18% | -0.30% | 399.15 | 421.17 | |
| counterparty META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -6.94% | +0.06% | 540.82 | 557.98 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +5.67% | -0.01% | 380.52 | 397.37 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.61% | -0.06% | 195.33 | 201.78 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.24% | -0.09% | 337.16 | 357.61 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +22.34% · Δ 30m -0.65% · px 904.10 (prev 739.00) → close -7.72% |
| S2 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -6.94% · Δ 30m +0.06% · px 544.99 (prev 585.61) → close +1.98% |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +3.61% · Δ 30m -0.06% · px 196.86 (prev 190.01) → close +2.49% |
| S4 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +22.34% · Δ 30m -0.65% · px 904.10 (prev 739.00) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.