Mon Aug-31 19:08:49
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1427 Thu Jul-30 19:01:19
Micron, Sandisk and other chip stocks get major boosts in the wake of Microsoft's earnings
Microsoft's earnings report, highlighting responsible AI spending and positive free cash flow guidance, triggered a significant rally in Micron and other semiconductor stocks.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MSFT | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +16.73% | -0.06% | 425.60 | 458.17 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +18.00% | +0.08% | 747.00 | 910.99 | |
| peer AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +13.64% | +0.01% | 440.89 | 499.88 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +8.15% | -0.04% | 26.27 | 28.40 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +7.50% | -0.19% | 381.99 | 412.77 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +4.08% | -0.16% | 374.22 | 391.00 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.45% | -0.17% | 146.00 | 153.87 | |
| NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +1.98% | +0.07% | 192.16 | 197.05 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +16.73% · Δ 30m -0.06% · px 455.87 (prev 390.54) → close -0.90% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +13.64% · Δ 30m +0.01% · px 488.16 (prev 429.56) → close -0.69% |
| S4 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +16.73% · Δ 30m -0.06% · px 455.87 (prev 390.54) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.