Mon Aug-31 19:06:50
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1183 Wed Jul-29 18:02:24
Mark Cuban and Michal Burry warn the AI boom is dangerously reliant on Nvidia
Mark Cuban and Michael Burry warned that the AI boom is dangerously reliant on Nvidia, citing risks from its financing of customer deals and potential for a sector-wide downturn if Nvidia stumbles.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.55% | +0.18% | 188.89 | 197.56 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -6.01% | +0.17% | 25.22 | 28.35 | |
| peer AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -5.20% | +0.25% | 420.63 | 458.46 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.52% | +0.28% | 368.30 | 390.77 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.61% | +0.28% | 364.85 | 384.61 | |
| GOOGL | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.87% | +0.32% | 329.81 | 342.09 | |
| counterparty MSFT | · unclear | FRESH | +0.52% | -0.02% | 389.74 | 425.60 | |
| AMZN | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.40% | +0.33% | 224.70 | 232.52 | |
| META | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.07% | +0.35% | 521.74 | 599.09 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.55% · Δ 30m +0.18% · px 191.99 (prev 197.01) → close -0.71% |
| S2 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close -1.07% |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.20% · Δ 30m +0.25% · px 430.99 (prev 454.62) → close +0.23% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.55% · Δ 30m +0.18% · px 191.99 (prev 197.01) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.