kingfisher — alert #1126

🚨 Alert #1126 Wed Jul-29 13:40:53

Big Tech's AI Reckoning Arrives Today - Have The Billions Paid Off? - TechRound

techround.co.uk · Wed Jul-29 13:30:46 published · Wed Jul-29 13:40:53 alerted · alerted 10m after publish · read at techround.co.uk ↗ · earnings · mat 85

Microsoft, Meta, and Qualcomm are scheduled to report earnings today, with investor focus on whether AI capital expenditures are translating into tangible revenue growth.

🎯 Tickers & verdicts

ticker	direction	verdict	since close	30m	day lo	day hi
primary MSFT	· unclear	PRICED	+1.47%	+0.26%	389.74	425.60
AMD	· unclear	PRICED	-8.81%	-0.85%	420.63	458.46
QCOM	· unclear	PRICED	-4.09%	-0.15%	143.70	164.29
peer GOOGL	· unclear	PRICED	+2.85%	-0.30%	329.81	342.09
AVGO	· unclear	FRESH	-0.91%	-0.46%	364.85	384.61
META	· unclear	FRESH	+0.19%	+0.10%	521.74	599.09
NVDA	· unclear	FRESH	+0.03%	-0.27%	188.89	197.56

🧭 Decisions

strategy	ticker	action	side	rationale
S1	MSFT	○ skip	—	direction unclear for MSFT → close -0.92%
S2	-	○ skip	—	no counterparty in universe
S3	GOOGL	○ skip	—	direction unclear for GOOGL → close +0.07%
S4	MSFT	○ skip	—	direction unclear for MSFT

📈 Trades

no trades spawned

📖 Glossary

S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.