Mon Aug-31 19:04:09
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1107 Tue Jul-28 21:07:05
Stock market today: Nasdaq slips, S&P 500 and Dow rise as earnings, falling oil prices offset chip weakness
Nvidia shares and the broader semiconductor sector declined amid reports of a potential $250 billion funding backstop for OpenAI, raising investor concerns about circular financing and AI valuation sustainability.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.08% | -0.63% | 193.21 | 198.53 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -9.02% | -0.97% | 774.65 | 848.99 | |
| peer AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -8.17% | -1.87% | 444.02 | 475.77 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.86% | -0.74% | 27.27 | 28.69 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.37% | -0.68% | 1555.72 | 1598.06 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.14% | -0.66% | 162.26 | 167.70 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.70% | -0.50% | 381.24 | 395.36 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.78% | -1.14% | 360.53 | 385.19 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> short NVDA (other: Nvidia shares and the broader semiconductor sector declined amid reports of a potential $250 billion funding backstop for OpenAI, raising investor concerns about circular financing and AI valuation sustainability.) [skipped: post-close — wanted short NVDA after the 2026-07-28 session close; same-day exit window gone] → close +0.68% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -8.17% · Δ 30m -1.87% · px 454.52 (prev 494.95) → close +0.31% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short NVDA at close, exit next close (other: Nvidia shares and the broader semiconductor sector declined amid reports of a potential $250 billion funding backstop for OpenAI, raising investor concerns about circular financing and AI valuation sustainability.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 short lost to mat 90 long (decision 4900) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-07-30] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.