Mon Aug-31 19:06:13
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1040 Tue Jul-28 17:31:08
A single report 'brings down' ASML's stock: Whose anxiety does it expose?: Global Times editorial
ASML shares dropped approximately 7% following an unconfirmed report of a breakthrough in China's domestic lithography technology, raising concerns about the long-term effectiveness of export controls.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.74% | -0.90% | 1555.72 | 1598.06 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -8.39% | -0.52% | 774.65 | 848.99 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -7.02% | -0.74% | 444.02 | 475.77 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.90% | -0.58% | 27.27 | 28.69 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.86% | -1.08% | 162.26 | 167.70 | |
| peer TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.07% | -0.54% | 381.24 | 395.36 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.57% | -0.66% | 360.53 | 385.19 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.33% | -0.61% | 193.21 | 198.53 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.74% · Δ 30m -0.90% · px 1576.81 (prev 1655.26) → close +0.73% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.07% · Δ 30m -0.54% · px 390.81 (prev 399.09) → close +0.83% |
| S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.74% · Δ 30m -0.90% · px 1576.81 (prev 1655.26) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.