🚨 Alert #1002 Tue Jul-28 15:23:03

Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Poised for 6% Swing Following Wednesday's Q4 Earnings

blockonomi.com · Tue Jul-28 15:15:19 published · Tue Jul-28 15:23:03 alerted · alerted 7m after publish · read at blockonomi.com ↗ · earnings · mat 85

Microsoft is scheduled to report Q4 earnings with options pricing implying a 6% move, amid consensus estimates of $87.71B revenue and concerns over a $190B capital expenditure plan.

🎯 Tickers & verdicts

ticker	direction	verdict	since close	30m	day lo	day hi
primary MSFT	· unclear	PRICED	+2.01%	+1.33%	391.72	399.95
AMZN	· unclear	FRESH	-0.46%	+0.30%	228.16	234.02
peer GOOGL	· unclear	FRESH	+0.27%	+0.11%	325.28	335.89
AAPL	· unclear	FRESH	+0.16%	-0.32%	335.94	341.25
META	· unclear	FRESH	+0.06%	+0.23%	587.04	600.38

🧭 Decisions

strategy	ticker	action	side	rationale
S1	MSFT	○ skip	—	direction unclear for MSFT → close -0.98%
S2	-	○ skip	—	no counterparty in universe
S3	GOOGL	○ skip	—	direction unclear for GOOGL → close +1.88%
S4	MSFT	○ skip	—	direction unclear for MSFT

📈 Trades

no trades spawned

📖 Glossary

S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.

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