Mon Aug-31 19:02:38
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #689 Fri Jul-24 13:45:12
TSMC's Price Hikes Could Show Which AI Chip Stocks Have Real Pricing Power
TSMC is finalizing negotiations to implement 5% to 10% base price increases and additional surcharges for high-performance computing orders starting in early 2027.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.64% | -0.38% | 401.02 | 415.86 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | PRICED | -2.64% | -0.38% | 166.15 | 171.98 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | PRICED | +2.03% | -0.67% | 29.50 | 31.39 | |
| peer NVDA | · unclear | PRICED | -1.81% | -0.30% | 205.04 | 211.59 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | PRICED | -1.68% | -0.50% | 379.17 | 392.10 | |
| AMD | · unclear | PRICED | -1.07% | +0.02% | 519.05 | 548.99 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.64% · Δ 30m -0.38% · px 414.30 (prev 421.21) → close -2.98% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA → close -1.08% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.64% · Δ 30m -0.38% · px 414.30 (prev 421.21) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.