Sun Oct-18 15:06:20
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #6788 Wed Oct-07 15:30:12
QCOM Lags Industry Year to Date: What's the Next Move for Investors?
QCOM Lags Industry Year to Date: What's the Next Move for Investors?
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | QCOM | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> short QCOM (guidance: QCOM Lags Industry Year to Date: What's the Next Move for Investors?) |
| S2 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AAPL → close +0.31% |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD → close +1.12% |
| S4 | QCOM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short QCOM at close, exit next close (guidance: QCOM Lags Industry Year to Date: What's the Next Move for Investors?) [skipped at close: stale at close-fill — wanted short, verdict now PRICED (-2.15% since close, 325m after decision), order not placed] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | QCOM | ▼ short | 5 | 179.56 | 177.15 | +12.05 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM S1 | +2.28% | +0.06% | Signal was right: the short went into profit immediately and never traded against the position (worst unrealized only +0.06%), ending with a 1.34% favorable move. Timing was fine — entry at 179.56 was only ~0.8% below the prior close despite a +0.84% uptick in the preceding 30 minutes, so the bulk of the decline occurred after the fill rather than before it. The dominant factor is the exit: the trade banked 1.34% against a best unrealized of 2.28%, capturing roughly 60% of what was available and giving back about 0.9% from the peak; whether the "lags industry" thesis actually drove the drop can't be determined from this data. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.