Sun Oct-18 15:05:59
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #6759 Wed Oct-07 13:00:38
Broadcom Owns the Backstage; AMD Fights for the Spotlight
Broadcom Owns the Backstage; AMD Fights for the Spotlight
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AVGO | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.13% | +0.11% | 370.40 | 377.45 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.02% | -0.06% | 634.35 | 647.70 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.69% | -0.04% | 236.55 | 238.91 | |
| counterparty GOOGL | · unclear | FRESH | -0.41% | +0.02% | 344.11 | 350.65 | |
| META | · unclear | FRESH | -0.29% | -0.13% | 720.91 | 739.24 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AVGO | ○ skip | — | primary long contradicts tape: AVGO -1.13% since prev close → close +1.31% |
| S2 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL → close +1.25% |
| S3 | NVDA | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short NVDA (earnings: Broadcom Owns the Backstage; AMD Fights for the Spotlight) |
| S4 | AVGO | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long AVGO at close, exit next close (earnings: Broadcom Owns the Backstage; AMD Fights for the Spotlight) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 78 long lost to mat 81 long (decision 27028) for S4 AVGO exiting 2026-10-08] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S3 | NVDA | ▼ short | 4 | failed |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.