overnight drift: long AVGO at close, exit next close (partnership: Broadcom Stock Jumps Following Reported $42 Billion Financing Deal With Anthropic) [skipped at close: stale at close-fill — wanted long, verdict now PRICED (+2.07% since close, 404m after decision), order not placed]
Signal was right: the bullish call on the Anthropic financing news played out, with AVGO rising from 358.04 to 362.42 (+1.22%) and never drawing down more than -0.42%. Timing is the main caveat — the headline says the stock had already "jumped," yet the known context shows only +0.37% vs. prev close at decision time, while the fill came in at 358.04 (+0.82% over prev close), so roughly half a point of the move slipped between decision and entry; whether the bulk of the news move had already occurred before the decision isn't settled by this data. Exit captured most of what was available (+1.22% realized vs. +1.60% best unrealized), so the dominant factor here is simply a correct signal with a modest entry-slippage drag, not an exit problem.
📖 Glossary
S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.
