🚨 Alert #6313 Fri Oct-02 13:00:38
US STOCKS-Wall St futures rise ahead of jobs report as bond market steadies, oil slips
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AVGO | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> long AVGO (other: US STOCKS-Wall St futures rise ahead of jobs report as bond market steadies, oil slips) |
| S4 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S3 | AVGO | ▲ long | 2 | 350.08 | 354.91 | +9.66 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVGO S3 | +2.04% | -0.71% | Signal: Right — the bullish call played out; AVGO rose a further ~1.4% from entry and reached +2.04% unrealized, though the rationale was a generic market-futures headline with nothing AVGO-specific, so whether the stock moved for the stated reason can't be settled from this data. Timing: The move was partly already in: price was +1.04% vs. prev close at decision, and the fill at 350.08 was +1.87% vs. prev close — roughly 0.8% worse than the decision-time price — yet the stock still had another 2% in it, so entry was late but not exhausted. Exit: Realized +1.38% (+$9.66) against a best unrealized of +2.04% and worst of only -0.71%, i.e. about two-thirds of the available move captured with shallow adverse excursion. Dominant factor: a correct directional signal that overcame the decision-to-fill slippage; the exit left roughly a third of the peak on the table. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.