🚨 Alert #6140 Thu Oct-01 13:00:26
Micron (MU) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MU | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long MU (earnings: Micron (MU) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript) |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | - | ○ skip | — | no peer in universe |
| S4 | MU | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long MU at close, exit next close (earnings: Micron (MU) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 90 long lost to mat 90 long (decision 25172) for S4 MU exiting 2026-10-02] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MU | ▲ long | 1 | 1057.40 | 1095.25 | +37.85 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| MU S1 | +3.58% | -3.01% | Signal was right: the bullish call on the earnings transcript played out — long MU went from 1057.4 to 1095.25 (+3.58%), though the trade first drew down about 3% before recovering, so the path was not clean. Timing was fine: at decision time the stock was down 0.77% from the prior close with only a +0.43% drift in the last 30 minutes, and the fill at 1057.4 was below the 1066.74 prior close, so the move had not already happened by entry. Exit captured essentially everything available: the +37.85 USD P&L corresponds to +3.58%, which matches the best unrealized figure, meaning the trade closed at or within a tick of its high-water mark. Dominant factor: a correct directional signal combined with an exit at the peak. The data doesn't say what triggered the exit (rule, target, or luck), nor does the one-line rationale give any article content to judge whether the "FRESH" label was justified — only that the direction worked. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.