🚨 Alert #5721 Mon Sep-28 16:40:39
RaillyNews - Apple's Taptic Engine Lawsuit: $5.72 Billion Damages Award
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short AAPL (regulatory: RaillyNews - Apple's Taptic Engine Lawsuit: $5.72 Billion Damages Award) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 short AAPL exiting 2026-09-28] → close -0.77% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | - | ○ skip | — | no peer in universe |
| S4 | AAPL | ● enter | ▼ short | overnight drift: short AAPL at close, exit next close (regulatory: RaillyNews - Apple's Taptic Engine Lawsuit: $5.72 Billion Damages Award) |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S4 | AAPL | ▼ short | 2 | 338.51 | 329.20 | +18.62 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL S4 | +2.76% | -0.07% | Signal: right. The short predicted down and AAPL fell from 338.51 to 329.20 (≈2.75%), with worst unrealized only -0.07%, so the position was essentially never underwater — though the data doesn't show whether the lawsuit news actually drove the drop or something else did. Timing: mostly fine, with a caveat. At decision time the stock was flat (+0.02% vs prev close, 341.07), so the move had not already happened; however the fill at 338.51 was ~0.75% below the decision-time price, meaning a slice of the decline occurred between decision and entry and was missed. Exit: near-perfect capture. Best unrealized was +2.76% (~329.17) and the exit at 329.20 realized ~2.75%, so the mechanical next-close exit took almost everything available. The dominant factor here is a correct directional signal on a clean one-way move; the only leak was the decision-to-fill gap on entry. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.