🚨 Alert #5056 Mon Sep-21 13:02:20
Amazon and Alphabet reported strong Q2 FY2026 cloud revenue growth driven by massive AI infrastructure spending, with AWS growing 37% and Google Cloud surging 82% year-over-year.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long AMZN (earnings: Amazon and Alphabet reported strong Q2 FY2026 cloud revenue growth driven by massive AI infrastructure spending, with AWS growing 37% and Google Cloud surging 82% year-over-year.) |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close +1.06% |
| S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long AMZN at close, exit next close (earnings: Amazon and Alphabet reported strong Q2 FY2026 cloud revenue growth driven by massive AI infrastructure spending, with AWS growing 37% and Google Cloud surging 82% year-over-year.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 65 short (decision 20408) for S4 AMZN exiting 2026-09-22] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ▲ long | 3 | 256.61 | 258.60 | +5.97 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN S1 | +1.08% | -1.09% | Signal: Correct — the bullish call played out; the trade exited +0.78% higher and price spent time above entry (best +1.08%). Timing: Partially eroded — the stock was already +0.71% on the day at decision time (and the fill at 256.61 sits +1.22% above prev close), so some of the earnings pop was consumed before entry; whether the bulk of the move was pre-entry versus post-entry can't be fully settled from this data. Exit: Good capture — +0.78% realized against a best unrealized of +1.08% means the exit took most of what was available, and the trade also survived a symmetric -1.09% drawdown. Dominant factor: correct signal with a solid exit; the main leakage was entering after part of the move had already occurred. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.