🚨 Alert #5000 Fri Sep-18 16:40:38
Evercore ISI and Tigress Financial raised price targets for Alphabet citing rebounding Google search market share and a favorable ad-tech court ruling.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long GOOGL (analyst: Evercore ISI and Tigress Financial raised price targets for Alphabet citing rebounding Google search market share and a favorable ad-tech court ruling.) |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | META | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for META → close -1.13% |
| S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long GOOGL at close, exit next close (analyst: Evercore ISI and Tigress Financial raised price targets for Alphabet citing rebounding Google search market share and a favorable ad-tech court ruling.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 65 long (decision 20120) for S4 GOOGL exiting 2026-09-21] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ▲ long | 2 | 350.05 | 348.68 | -2.74 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL S1 | +0.57% | -0.44% | Signal: Mostly wrong over the holding period — the stock briefly ticked up (+0.57% best) but net drifted down; the bullish call didn't hold. Timing: The move had largely already happened — entry at 350.05 was ~0.8% above prior close, meaning the pop from the analyst news was priced in before the fill, despite the "FRESH" verdict. Exit: Poor capture — the trade exited at -0.39%, near the worst unrealized (-0.44%), giving back the entire +0.57% peak. Dominant factor: timing. The strategy bought into a stalled post-news pop (last 30m was flat at -0.04%), leaving little upside; the exit near the lows compounded it, but there was never much available to capture. Whether the underlying analyst thesis is right longer-term isn't settled by this data — only that this entry was late relative to the move. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.