🚨 Alert #4841 Wed Sep-16 18:20:23
MediaTek has launched its Dimensity 9600 Pro flagship mobile chip using TSMC's 2nm process, marking a significant expansion of demand for TSMC's newest manufacturing node beyond Apple and high-performance computing clients.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long TSM (product: MediaTek has launched its Dimensity 9600 Pro flagship mobile chip using TSMC's 2nm process, marking a significant expansion of demand for TSMC's newest manufacturing node beyond Apple and high-performance computing clients.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 long TSM exiting 2026-09-16] → close -0.06% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA → close -0.81% |
| S4 | TSM | ● enter | ▲ long | overnight drift: long TSM at close, exit next close (product: MediaTek has launched its Dimensity 9600 Pro flagship mobile chip using TSMC's 2nm process, marking a significant expansion of demand for TSMC's newest manufacturing node beyond Apple and high-performance computing clients.) |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S4 | TSM | ▲ long | 2 | 417.51 | 429.26 | +23.50 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| TSM S4 | +3.04% | -0.06% | Signal: Right — the long thesis played out, with the stock rising +2.81% from entry to exit and never going meaningfully against the position (worst -0.06%). Timing: The stock had already moved +0.86% off the prior close by entry, so a small part of the news reaction was missed, but the bulk of the move clearly came after entry, so the drift thesis wasn't stale. Exit: Near-optimal — the +23.50 P&L (+2.81%) captured almost all of the +3.04% peak unrealized gain. Dominant factor: a correct signal executed cleanly; nothing in this trade's data points to a flaw. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.