Sun Oct-18 15:16:34
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🚨 Alert #4612 Mon Sep-14 19:40:13
Mollusk megadeath
TSMC's foundry market share rose to 72.5% in Q2 with 12% sequential revenue growth driven by strong AI and smartphone chip demand.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.54% | +0.09% | 416.10 | 424.45 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -4.40% | -0.14% | 344.15 | 351.15 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -3.77% | -0.15% | 483.56 | 498.32 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.70% | -0.07% | 209.25 | 213.36 | |
| AAPL | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.63% | +0.15% | 331.67 | 335.33 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.35% | +0.29% | 170.60 | 181.64 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.54% · Δ 30m +0.09% · px 422.17 (prev 433.19) → close -0.57% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.70% · Δ 30m -0.07% · px 212.39 (prev 218.29) → close -0.56% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.54% · Δ 30m +0.09% · px 422.17 (prev 433.19) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.