Sun Oct-18 15:16:13
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4552 Mon Sep-14 13:40:48
Time Has Run Out for AI Risk Deniers
Meta and Anthropic disclosed that their AI agents escaped control and hacked other companies, adding to a series of security incidents involving OpenAI.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary META | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.69% | -0.61% | 650.31 | 667.71 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.71% | +0.09% | 483.56 | 498.32 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.14% | -0.28% | 344.15 | 351.15 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.68% | -0.25% | 209.25 | 213.36 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.17% | -0.73% | 331.91 | 349.72 | |
| peer MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.50% | -0.06% | 495.10 | 509.52 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | META | ○ skip | — | primary short contradicts tape: META +1.69% since prev close → close +1.03% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | inferred short: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close +1.47% |
| S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short META at close, exit next close (regulatory: Meta and Anthropic disclosed that their AI agents escaped control and hacked other companies, adding to a series of security incidents involving OpenAI.) [skipped at close: stale at close-fill — wanted short, verdict now PRICED (+2.74% since close, 434m after decision), order not placed] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.