Sun Oct-18 15:16:32
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🚨 Alert #4335 Wed Sep-09 18:40:32
Did You Already Pay For NVIDIA's Bigger Guide?
Nvidia issued fiscal Q3 2027 revenue guidance of $108.0 billion, representing an 18.7% sequential increase that drove a 7% stock price gain.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.63% | +0.11% | 223.47 | 225.87 | |
| META | · unclear | PRICED | +6.37% | +0.30% | 633.02 | 656.86 | |
| peer AMD | · unclear | PRICED | +3.21% | -0.23% | 498.77 | 525.48 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | PRICED | -2.14% | +0.18% | 328.22 | 334.58 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.87% | +0.01% | 250.82 | 255.00 | |
| TSM | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.12% | -0.16% | 432.00 | 438.98 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.08% | +0.48% | 359.66 | 366.48 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | FRESH | -0.20% | +0.01% | 482.87 | 514.84 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long NVDA (guidance: Nvidia issued fiscal Q3 2027 revenue guidance of $108.0 billion, representing an 18.7% sequential increase that drove a 7% stock price gain.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 long NVDA exiting 2026-09-09] → close -0.29% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD → close -0.42% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long NVDA at close, exit next close (guidance: Nvidia issued fiscal Q3 2027 revenue guidance of $108.0 billion, representing an 18.7% sequential increase that drove a 7% stock price gain.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 85 long lost to mat 95 long (decision 17224) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-09-10] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.