kingfisher — alert #4269

🚨 Alert #4269 Wed Sep-09 13:30:47

TSMC's market share hits record 72.5% in Q2

focustaiwan.tw · Wed Sep-09 13:15:00 published · Wed Sep-09 13:30:47 alerted · alerted 15m after publish · read at focustaiwan.tw ↗ · other · mat 65

TSMC's global pure-play wafer foundry market share reached a record 72.5% in Q2, driven by strong AI server demand and Apple inventory buildup.

🎯 Tickers & verdicts

ticker	direction	verdict	since close	30m	day lo	day hi
primary TSM	▲ bullish	REPRICING	-1.56%	-0.23%	432.00	438.98
NVDA	· unclear	FRESH	-0.60%	-0.24%	223.47	225.87
counterparty AAPL	· unclear	FRESH	-0.41%	-0.07%	310.36	318.52

strategy	ticker	action	side	rationale
S1	TSM	○ skip	—	primary long contradicts tape: TSM -1.56% since prev close → close +0.70%
S2	AAPL	○ skip	—	direction unclear for AAPL → close +0.13%
S3	-	○ skip	—	no peer in universe
S4	TSM	○ skip	—	overnight drift: long TSM at close, exit next close (other: TSMC's global pure-play wafer foundry market share reached a record 72.5% in Q2, driven by strong AI server demand and Apple inventory buildup.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 65 long (decision 17276) for S4 TSM exiting 2026-09-10]

no trades spawned

S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.