🚨 Alert #4166 Tue Sep-08 13:03:10
Amazon reported strong AWS revenue growth of 37% and a $496 billion backlog, maintaining its market lead despite aggressive pricing competition from Oracle.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long AMZN (earnings: Amazon reported strong AWS revenue growth of 37% and a $496 billion backlog, maintaining its market lead despite aggressive pricing competition from Oracle.) |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL → close +0.57% |
| S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long AMZN at close, exit next close (earnings: Amazon reported strong AWS revenue growth of 37% and a $496 billion backlog, maintaining its market lead despite aggressive pricing competition from Oracle.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 85 long (decision 16864) for S4 AMZN exiting 2026-09-09] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ▲ long | 3 | 256.10 | 256.79 | +2.07 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN S1 | +0.72% | -0.50% | Signal: Direction was right — price rose after entry and the trade closed green, though the move was small (+0.27%), which is weak confirmation of a "strong earnings" thesis. Timing: The stock was down -0.80% from prior close at decision time, so the trade wasn't chasing an already-completed pop at entry; whether the earnings news was priced in before that prior close can't be determined from this data. Exit: The exit captured +0.27% against a best unrealized of +0.72%, so roughly two-thirds of the available upside was left behind — the dominant factor here is an exit that gave back most of the peak gain, though on an absolute basis the whole trade was too small to strongly validate or refute the thesis. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.