Sun Oct-18 16:01:02
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4092 Fri Sep-04 16:31:17
Jensen Huang's Nvidia Guided for 70% Revenue Growth in Fiscal 2028, Far Above the 44% Wall Street Expected, as Amazon Agreed to Buy 2 Million Nvidia GPUs. Is the Growth Forecast Believable?
Nvidia provided unprecedented long-term guidance projecting 70% revenue growth for fiscal 2028, supported by a reported agreement for Amazon to purchase 2 million GPUs.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.40% | -0.22% | 229.50 | 234.52 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.96% | -0.62% | 460.18 | 477.75 | |
| peer MSFT | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.83% | -0.20% | 499.01 | 513.79 | |
| GOOGL | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.41% | 0.00% | 337.23 | 343.78 | |
| counterparty AMZN | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.21% | -0.23% | 255.47 | 260.87 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.35% | -0.06% | 353.82 | 361.62 | |
| META | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.25% | +0.49% | 606.96 | 617.19 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> long NVDA (guidance: Nvidia provided unprecedented long-term guidance projecting 70% revenue growth for fiscal 2028, supported by a reported agreement for Amazon to purchase 2 million GPUs.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 long NVDA exiting 2026-09-04] → close -0.40% |
| S2 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMZN → close +1.16% |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | inferred long contradicts tape: MSFT -1.83% since prev close → close -0.11% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long NVDA at close, exit next close (guidance: Nvidia provided unprecedented long-term guidance projecting 70% revenue growth for fiscal 2028, supported by a reported agreement for Amazon to purchase 2 million GPUs.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 85 long lost to mat 95 long (decision 16512) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-09-08] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.